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Wednesday, 19 December, 2018,08:38

View from The Hill: Morrison’s authority deficit on show at home and abroad


When a prime minister has diminished authority, people don’t bother so
much with the niceties.

Scott Morrison admitted on Wednesday that Julia Banks had not given
him notice of her intention to announce in parliament at midday on
Tuesday that she was jumping ship. Asked by Alan Jones, “Did
she tell you?” Morrison said, “No she didn’t and of course that’s
disappointing”.

This was surprising in itself – it would have been normal courtesy to
inform the PM.

In other circumstances, however, it mightn’t have mattered – and
Morrison has a thick skin.

But to have his 11:45am news conference – which was called to put out
the date of next year’s budget – hijacked by word filtering through of
Banks’ bombshell was highly embarrassing.

It said everything about a prime minister not in touch with what was
going on in his own ranks.

Then on Wednesday it was revealed that Morrison does not have a bilateral meeting with President Trump scheduled when they’re at the G20, for which he departs on Thursday.

The official explanation from the Prime Minister’s Office was lame. A
spokesman said: “The PM will no doubt have the opportunity to touch
base [with Trump] during the G20 meetings. Given we have no pressing
bilateral issues at the moment and the PM had an extensive opportunity
with VP Pence at APEC, there is no pressing need for a formal
bilateral at this stage. The relationship is being well managed.”

There is speculation of a so-called “pull aside” – an informal meeting on the fly, but the impression is that the Americans are treating the Morrison government somewhat dismissively. It seems rather galling after all the recent talk of the government’s pivot to the Pacific and co-operation with the US in the Manus naval base.

A meeting with the Vice-President is no substitute for one with the President.

The seeming brush off can be put down to what might be expected from a
capricious president. But it was quickly seen by some as a judgement by the Americans that Morrison won’t be in office very long.

Meanwhile the Liberal party meltdown has caused Treasurer Josh
Frydenberg, who is deputy Liberal leader, to drop plans to accompany
Morrison to the G20. His place will be taken by Finance Minister
Mathias Cormann.

Pressed in Parliament about his change of plans Frydenberg could only dodge.

When Frydenberg won the deputy leadership (by an overwhelming vote,
defeating Greg Hunt and Steve Ciobo) in the August mayhem, he was
regarded as a consensus figure who commands considerable respect
across the party. He will need to draw on all that respect in the next
few months.

As if he didn’t have a big enough job getting on top of his Treasury
portfolio in the run up to the December budget update and
then an early budget, Frydenberg is finding himself strongly tested
in the deputy role, which becomes especially important in an unsettled
and fractious party.

The Liberals this week are shell-shocked and unnerved after the
Victorian rout and both the fact and implications of Banks’ desertion.

The parliamentary party is flakey on many fronts. Turnbull supporters seem to have become angrier as time has gone on. Continued talk about the Liberals’ “women problem” is undermining the government’s efforts to appeal to female voters. High profile former Liberal deputy Julie Bishop is off the leash, with provocative comments on subjects ranging from energy policy to Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton’s parliamentary eligibility.

The Dutton issue hangs menacingly over the government. If the
opposition can muster the numbers to have him referred to the High
Court, it would be seriously destabilising.

Dutton would not have to resign from parliament while the case was
heard but to have him remain on the frontbench (as Barnaby Joyce did)
would see the government distracted by a fresh crisis.

Despite the Coalition falling further into minority government with
the loss of Banks, the opposition hasn’t this week moved against
Dutton.

He is absent from parliament after injuring his arm and Labor
would prefer, for the sake of appearances, not to act in his absence.
More to the point, however, it does not yet have the numbers locked
in.

It needs six of the now seven crossbenchers, and whether they can be
corralled appears to be a day-to-day proposition. Banks and Kerryn
Phelps, sworn in on Monday, on Tuesday discussed Dutton’s eligibility
in a meeting with Attorney-General Christian Porter.

The government has five more sitting days to struggle through before
parliament finishes for the year. It has produced a parliamentary
calendar for next year, with its April 2 budget, that provides for
only some 10 sitting days before the election is called for May 11 or
18. There are no sittings at all in March.

The minimal sittings speak volumes about a government that lacks the
numbers in the House (its position could even worsen, if rightwinger
Craig Kelly, who faces losing preselection, defected to the crossbench) and usually is at its chaotic worst when parliament is in session.The Conversation


Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.


 

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